Monday Baseball Betting
Posted in System Picks on April 14th, 2008 by adminCurrent Record 7-9 for -4.1 units
Money Line Value Bets for Monday:
Arizona -128
Toronto -130
Oakland +145
Current Record 7-9 for -4.1 units
Money Line Value Bets for Monday:
Arizona -128
Toronto -130
Oakland +145
Current Record 6-7 for -3.1 units
Sundays Plays:
Seattle -129
Oakland +130
Brewers +129
One play for the money line system today:
Los Angeles Angels +109
Late Night game starting 10:10 ET
3 games today:
Boston -130 or better (My play -127)
Toronto -150 or better (my play -142)
GAME 2 Texas -150 or better (my play -137)
Current system stats for 2008 - 4-5 for -2.6 units.
Todays games:
San Francisco Giants +173
Cleveland Indians -158
Los Angeles Angels -155
System now 2-4 for -3.1 units
Plays for Friday - First 2 games are 2:00 starts:
Houston Astros +156 (bet if +145 or above)
Milwaukee Brewers -183 (bet if -190 or under)
New York Yankess -193 (bet if -200 or under)
I hate betting these really big “chalk” games, where the line is -170 or higher. There can still be value with good teams playing at home laying heavy chalk. The system generates what it thinks should be the line, and I have Milwaukee right around -245 and theYankees at around -260. So if I can get those lower “chalk” lines, there is still value.
That is really the basis of my system. Determining what I think is the “real” line and finding the biggest gaps between those and the actual lines.
Only one game for Thursday:
Colorado Rockies -120 (might want to wait closer to game time, this will probably come down some)
Record update - 2-3, -1.9 units
After the winner last night the system is now 1-1 for -0.4 units.
Todays games:
San Diego Padres -145 over the Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies -105 over the St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels -125 over the Minnesota Twins
For the second day in a row, the Angels appear as a system play. The game tonight is at 8:00.
Los Angeles Angels -120 Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit (System Power ranking 60)
2008 Moneyline baseball record (0-1, -1.4 units)
First Money Line system play of the year is on the LA Angels over the Twins tonight at 7:05
3/31/08
LA Angels -140
Baseball Moneyline power rankings for game 110 (lowest rated power ranking that will be a play = 50)
Betting 1.4 units to win 1.0 units
Game time 7:05
Pitchers - Weaver (LAA) vs Hernandez (MIN)
System stats - 0-0, +0 units